Closed beta

Thousands of possibilities.
A few decisions worth your money.

The Strike Method filters thousands of market inputs into a small number of complete decisions — what deserves your capital, where the risk is, and when standing down can protect it.

Most tools give you more to read. TSM does the opposite: it filters out most of the market, tests what survives, and shows you the few situations worth acting on — or tells you plainly when nothing qualifies.

Request beta access Access is capped while in closed beta.
A morning read Illustrative preview
Reviewed the full market overnight.
A short list — and one stand-down.
Options
A complete plan — the contract, the entry zone, where the idea is wrong, exit levels, and the exit.
Long-term stock
What the company depends on, which holdings share that exposure, and what would break the thesis.
No trade
A watched setup that did not clear the bar today — set aside, with the reason kept.
Some mornings nothing meets the bar. Standing down is a decision — and TSM will say so.
How it works

Filter. Test. Decide.

TSM narrows a huge market down to a few complete, checkable calls — and tells you plainly when nothing qualifies.

01

Most of the market gets filtered out

What is easy to find is rarely worth your capital. TSM discards the noise before you ever see it — so you start with candidates, not a firehose.

02

What survives gets tested

The few candidates left are checked against realistic costs, liquidity, entry price, and the conditions that would make the idea wrong — not just whether the chart looks good.

03

You get a complete decision

The setup, the risk, and what would change it — or an honest "nothing today." Every call is recorded before the outcome is known, so the track record is verifiable.

The problem

You don't need more alerts. You need fewer, better decisions.

The hard part of investing isn't finding something to look at — it's separating the few situations worth your capital from the endless stream that isn't.

What most tools give you

More to sort through

  • More tickers and watchlists
  • More alerts and notifications
  • More headlines and hot takes
  • More charts to interpret
  • More work left on your plate
What TSM gives you

A finished decision

  • A short list, not a firehose
  • A complete plan with defined risk
  • The conditions that make it wrong
  • A record that keeps the misses and the passes
  • A clear "stand down" when nothing qualifies
The foundation

From thousands of inputs to a few complete decisions.

TSM runs on a mature research infrastructure. It tests methods across years of historical market data, combines that with point-in-time market inputs, quantitative analysis, technical analysis, and risk/cost/liquidity filters — then rejects most candidates to surface the few that deserve a complete plan. Or it says plainly: nothing today.

Inputs
Years of historical market data + point-in-time market inputs
Price, volume, and structure data across options, stocks, and sports markets — combined with point-in-time quotes, spreads, and liquidity
Layer 1
Quantitative analysis
Methods tested out-of-sample across years of historical data — not curve-fit to one period
Layer 2
Technical analysis and price/volume structure
Does the chart confirm or contradict the quantitative case?
Layer 3
Risk, cost, and liquidity filters
Real-world conditions — fees, spreads, fill quality, and position sizing — not frictionless assumptions
Most rejected
Rejected Watch Ready No trade
Most setups fail here. Weak structures, thin liquidity, missing evidence, or hard gates block them. Survivors arrive with entry, invalidation, targets, time horizon, and exit logic.
Result
A few complete decisions
Or an honest "no trade" — standing down is a valid decision

Many candidates enter the funnel. Most are rejected — weak structure, thin liquidity, missing evidence, or a hard gate blocks them. What survives arrives with the entry, the risk, the target, the time horizon, and the exit — so you know what you are doing and why before you put money to work. When nothing clears the bar, TSM says so.

Options

Finding a moving stock is easy. Knowing which contract is worth buying is the hard part.

You can be right about a stock and still lose on options — because the contract, the entry price, the timing, the liquidity, or the exit was wrong. TSM reviews a broad market, rejects the weak and untradeable setups, and turns the strongest survivors into complete plans.

The investor's problem. Options look simple — pick a direction, buy a contract. But the wrong strike, the wrong expiration, a wide spread, or a bad entry can turn a correct call into a loss.

What TSM evaluates. Price structure, volatility, liquidity and spread, entry timing, and the conditions that would prove the idea wrong — all checked before a plan is formed.

What you receive. Not a bare ticker or a one-line alert — the whole decision: the contract, why the setup matters, where to enter, where the idea is wrong, the exit levels, the time horizon, liquidity and cost checks, and how to exit.

How that helps. You know the entry, the risk, the target, and what would prove the idea wrong before you put money to work. And when it doesn't qualify, TSM says no trade — with the reason kept on the record.

Swing options

Days to weeks

Planned decisions designed to develop over time, with room to manage.

Intraday options

Shorter, stricter

Currently in shadow validation — testing the same evidence standards at faster timeframes. Not yet live.

Product-record preview Historical · not a current recommendation
READY · sealed Aug 13, 2026
Underlying
QQQ · Nasdaq 100 ETF
Contract
Call · strike 726 · 21 DTE
Expiration
Sep 4, 2026 · 1 contract
Underlying price
$732.07 · at decision time
Quote
Ask $18.08 · Bid $17.91
Cost basis
$1,808 · buy at ask, 1 contract
Model gate score
0.502 · above 0.5 gate threshold
Spread
0.94% · bid–ask spread percentage
Volume / open interest
115 / 190
Exit rule
+50% target / −50% stop · 5 sessions or DTE ≤ 3
Per-contract fee
$0.65

What this record is — and is not

This is a historical product-record preview from the first official prospective session of the swing-options model, sealed Aug 13, 2026. It shows the fields the system actually stores and verifies: the contract, the decision-time quote, the cost basis, the exit rule, and the model gate score. It is not a current recommendation, not live advice, and not a performance claim. The model identity and exit rule are frozen; the decision has not been settled.

No trade is a valid outcome. When the evidence doesn't clear the bar, TSM sets the name aside and keeps the reason — it does not manufacture a plan to fill a slot.
Long-Term Stocks

See the ecosystem behind every stock.

A stock is not just a ticker. It depends on manufacturers, suppliers, customers, technologies, and regulations that don't show up in a normal portfolio list. The Stock Ecosystem Map surfaces source-checked relationships within current governed coverage — so you can find hidden risk and overlooked opportunity.

Stock Ecosystem Map

Hidden concentration and overlooked companies

Stock Ecosystem Map● SOURCE-CHECKED CONNECTIONSSearch stock, company, or technology…
PRODUCT PREVIEW · SEE THE SOURCE BEHIND EVERY CONNECTION
INCOMING NVIDIA US EXPORTCONTROLS SUPERMICRO ADVANCEDPACKAGING TSMC SAMSUNG MICRON SK HYNIX DEPENDS ON DEPENDS ON PURCHASES FROM PURCHASES FROM PURCHASES FROM RESTRICTED BY
companytechnologyregulationsolid = verifieddotted = inferred

Two ways this helps you

Risk: Find hidden exposure across holdings before one supplier, regulation, or technology damages several positions at once. A portfolio that looks diversified can carry concentrated risk when multiple holdings quietly depend on the same bottleneck.

Opportunity: Discover the less-obvious companies supporting a major winner — the suppliers, manufacturers, and technology providers that may benefit when demand, capacity, or spending expands. A relationship does not automatically make a company a good investment, but it surfaces candidates worth investigating.

Every connection traces back to a source you can check. This is a preview of the map, not a claim that it predicts returns.

Sports Analysis

Most people react to a headline. TSM checks the variables that change the outcome.

A team name or a price is not enough. TSM evaluates game context — probable starting pitchers, bullpen and team offense, park and venue, weather when available, home/away, market price and movement, liquidity, fees, and correlated exposure — then estimates whether the offered price leaves a real margin after costs. When the edge disappears, TSM says pass.

The investor's problem. Most people react to a headline, a team name, or a price. They miss the variables that can change the outcome — a late pitching change, weather, park factors, or a price that looks good until fees and liquidity eat the edge.

What TSM evaluates. Probable starting pitchers and their recent form, bullpen strength, team offense, park and venue factors, weather when available, home/away context, market price and movement, liquidity, fees, and correlated exposure. Full batting lineups and an independent injury/late-scratch feed are planned but not yet tracked. TSM waits until key inputs are confirmed — it does not act on incomplete information.

What you receive. A clear evaluation with the estimated probability, the market price, whether the difference is large enough to matter after costs, and a TAKE, WAIT, PASS, or NO_PLAY decision — with the reason recorded.

How that helps. You stop reacting to headlines and start evaluating whether the offered price actually leaves a margin. When it doesn't, TSM says pass — protecting your bankroll from bets that look good but disappear after costs.

Currently active for MLB moneyline. Paper trading only — no real-money results. Additional sports and data sources are planned but not yet operational.

Sports evaluation Sample — not live
WAIT · starters not confirmed
MLB Moneyline · Sample game
Paper evaluation only — no real-money recommendation
TSM estimate
57.2% home win probability
Market implies
53.0% from market ask
Edge before costs
4.2pp
Edge after costs
1.8pp · below 4pp threshold
Decision: WAIT. Edge exists but does not clear the 4-point minimum after fees, slippage, and sizing. If both probable starters are confirmed and the edge holds, this moves to TAKE. If the edge compresses further, it becomes PASS.
Game context evaluated
Probable starting pitchers — RA9 quality + short-rest penalty. Starters weighted 2×. WAIT until both confirmed.
Bullpen strength — relief pitcher quality affects late-inning outcomes.
Team offense — batting performance and run production from season-to-date results.
Park factors — venue dimensions and scoring environment.
Weather — wind, temperature, and precipitation affect run scoring.
Home/away + rest — home-field advantage and rest-day adjustment when data is available.
Market price + liquidity — executable market ask price, per-contract fees, and conservative slippage. Never mid-price.
Correlated exposure — same-game markets collapsed to prevent double exposure.
Lineup confirmation — full batting lineups not yet tracked. Starting pitchers only. Future capability.
Injury / late status changes — not yet a separate tracking system. Probable-starter status implies some coverage. Future capability.
Closed beta

See the decisions before access opens.

TSM is opening the beta in small, controlled groups. Join the waitlist for early access, product previews, and the first beta invitations.

Limited Founding Beta Invitations Founding members will receive preferred beta pricing before public launch.

Something went wrong — please try again, or email us directly.

The Strike Method is an educational decision-support tool, not financial advice. Your email is used to contact you about beta access. See our privacy policy and terms.

You're on the list.

We'll email you when a beta spot opens. Keep an eye on your inbox.